The shortest revolution? Brown leads in Mass.?
This is truly an outstanding development in Massachusetts if the numbers are good. The Boston Globe has a poll that puts Coakley, the Democratic AG, ahead of Brown by 15 points. But, that is a poll by the liberal advocacy media (LAME) that has been responsible for keeping Democrats in power in urban America for 70 years. Can they be trusted? Politico tends to trust the Public Policy Polling poll. Poltico was created by journalists who were refugees from the the traditional LAME.
January 09, 2010
Poll: Scott Brown ahead of Martha Coakley by one point
Republicans have a very real chance at orchestrating a Massachusetts miracle in this month’s special Senate election to determine Ted Kennedy’s successor, at least according to a new Democratic poll out tonight.
The shocking poll from Public Policy Polling shows Republican state senator Scott Brown leading Democratic Attorney General Martha Coakley by one point, 48 to 47 percent, which would mean the race is effectively tied.
Among independents, who make up 51 percent of the electorate in the Bay State, Brown leads Coakley 63 percent to 31 percent.
Just 50 percent of voters view Coakley favorably, while 42 percent viewing her unfavorably.
Brown, who began an advertising blitz this month, sports a strong 57 percent favorability rating, with just 25 percent viewing him unfavorably – very strong numbers for a Republican in the heavily Democratic state.
On the issue of health care, which Brown has emphasized that he would be the deciding vote against, 47 percent said they opposed the plan in Congress while 41 percent supported it.
A Rasmussen Reports survey from earlier this week had showed Coakley’s lead down to 9 points, and in last night’s debate she had questioned the accuracy of those numbers, suggesting her margin of victory would in fact be larger.
The survey of 744 likely voters was conducted January 7-9 and had a margin of error of 3.6 percent.
In his analysis, pollster Tom Jensen noted that Coakley is suffering from a less-than excited Democratic electorate, a dynamic similar to the gubernatorial contests in New Jersey and Virginia that Democrats lost last year .
“The Massachusetts Senate race is shaping up as a potential disaster for Democrats,” said PPP pollster Dean Debnam.. “Martha Coakley’s complacent campaign has put Scott Brown in a surprisingly strong position and she will need to step it up in the final week to win a victory once thought inevitable.”
— Jessica Taylor and Josh Kraushaar